Primior Team

The $100M Question: Can Your Capital Stack Survive 6% Interest Rates?

Interest rates’ rise drives up borrowing costs by a lot. A homeowner might pay several hundred dollars more each month on a $350K house with just a 1% increase in mortgage rates. The Federal Reserve announced a 0.25% cut in interest rates for the first time since December, which might make you wonder about your real estate investments’ performance in this evolving scene.

Capital stacking is a vital strategy that layers different funding sources for real estate investments, especially during volatile interest periods. The real estate capital stack has four main layers, each offering different risk and return levels. Your investment’s success depends on understanding the capital stack’s structure. Common equity sits at the top of the capital stack and offers the highest risk and potential returns. Senior debt creates the base with the lowest risk and capital costs. This strategy works well in practice – Reservoir Square attracted $44 million in investment from public and private partners despite tough market conditions.

This piece will help you optimize your capital stack to handle high interest rates while keeping profitable returns on your real estate investments.

Capital Stack Explained: What It Is and Why It Matters

The capital stack is the foundation of commercial real estate financing. It’s a vital framework that shows investment risk, return potential, and payment priorities. You need to understand this concept to make smart real estate investment decisions, especially when interest rates keep changing.

Definition and Hierarchy of Capital Stack Real Estate

The capital stack shows all financing sources that fund a real estate project. It combines different types of capital in layers to finance property acquisition, development, or operation. Picture a vertical stack where each layer shows a different type of capital. Each layer has its own risk profile, expected returns, and payment priority.

A typical capital stack has four main components from bottom to top:

  1. Senior Debt – This base layer makes up 60-75% of the purchase price. The secured financing gets first claim on property income and assets. It has the lowest risk position and thus lower returns.
  2. Mezzanine Debt – This takes about 10-20% of the capital stack and bridges senior debt and equity. It comes with higher interest rates (usually 9-16%) because of the increased risk.
  3. Preferred Equity – Making up 10-25% of the capital structure, preferred equity investors get their distributions before common equity holders. Returns usually range from 10-15%, showing its middle position between debt and common equity.
  4. Common Equity – At the top of the stack with 15-35% of total capitalization, common equity means actual ownership. It carries the highest risk but offers unlimited upside potential.

This hierarchy sets a clear payment order. The bottom position gets paid first during operations and liquidation. Each layer must be fully repaid before moving up the stack. So when funds run short, losses start from the top down.

Capital Stack Meaning for Investors and Developers

The capital stack helps investors and developers make smart decisions. It shows your place in the cash flow order and what that means for repayment risk.

Your position in the capital stack determines your investment’s risk-return profile. Higher positions mean more risk and potential returns. This creates different investment options that match various risk tolerances and financial goals.

The capital stack helps calculate a project’s weighted average cost of capital. Developers can boost returns by mixing different financing layers. To name just one example, using more senior debt can lower overall capital costs and potentially increase equity returns.

Risk diversification becomes possible through the capital stack. Smart investors often spread their money across different layers and multiple projects. This strategy can lead to better blended returns across a portfolio.

A well-built capital stack has no “right” or “wrong” position. Each layer meets specific investor needs based on risk tolerance, return requirements, and investment timeline. Success comes from understanding your position and making sure the risk matches potential rewards.

How Each Layer of the Capital Stack Reacts to 6% Rates

Rising interest rates create ripple effects through the capital stack. These effects change risk-return profiles at each level. Interest rates near 6% make each layer react differently, creating both challenges and opportunities for smart investors.

Senior Debt: LTV Limits and Interest Coverage Ratios

Senior debt serves as the life-blood of real estate financing. Higher interest rates force immediate lending restrictions. Lenders usually cut back Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratios from their normal 60-80% range. They do this to guard against possible drops in value. Higher rates also affect interest coverage ratios—these ratios show if a property can pay its debt.

Interest coverage ratios can drop by a lot at 6% rates. A good ratio usually tops 4.0. Tough markets might see this fall to 2.7, close to record lows. Lower coverage ratios point to higher default risks. Investment-grade properties keep median coverage ratios around 7. High-yield properties stay near 4. This makes high-yield properties more sensitive to rate changes.

Mezzanine Debt: Higher Cost and Reduced Availability

Mezzanine financing sits in the middle of the capital stack. High-rate environments change it a lot. This layer costs more as baseline rates go up, with rates already between 9-16%. Many senior lenders also limit or ban mezzanine debt when markets get tight.

Rules between senior and mezzanine lenders become stricter. This cuts availability even more. Mezzanine debt helps boost leverage and IRR. But rates near 6% make it less practical. Some borrowers face costs above 16-20%.

Preferred Equity: Fixed Returns Under Pressure

Preferred equity usually brings returns between 6-9%. This position becomes vulnerable when market rates reach similar levels. Common rates at 6% shrink the usual premium over debt financing. This upsets the risk-return balance.

Preferred equity keeps its spot above debt in the capital stack. Its appeal drops as the gap between fixed returns and rising debt costs gets smaller. In spite of that, contract-based preferred returns offer some safety in shaky markets. These include backup plans that make sure missed dividends get paid before common equity distributions.

Common Equity: Risk-Reward Tradeoff in Volatile Markets

Common equity sits last for repayment but offers unlimited upside. It faces the biggest swings in high-rate environments. Common equity takes the full hit of higher debt costs throughout the capital stack.

At 6% rates, common equity returns might shrink fast. More cash goes to paying costlier debt. These swings create chances for investors with deep pockets. They can add more equity while others leave the market. Common equity comes with the highest risk. But it could grow a lot when rates return to normal. This makes it attractive for investors who can wait and have enough money saved up.

Risk Management Strategies for High-Rate Environments

Smart changes to your capital stack can help your investments stay strong against rising interest rates. Here are three proven ways to protect your investments even if rates hit or go beyond 6%.

Reducing Leverage to Improve Debt Service Coverage

The best defense against volatile interest rates is to keep your leverage ratios in check. Properties become risky when rates go up and debt-service coverage ratios (DSCR) drop below 1.25x. Lenders expect multifamily properties to keep minimum DSCRs of 1.25x throughout market cycles.

Too much leverage creates a snowball effect. You’ll struggle with payments now and hurt your credit score later. A budget-friendly solution is to put more cash down upfront. This builds equity and keeps your debt under control.

Your existing properties need strong financial buffers. The best way to create them is to focus on building equity before taking out cash flow. Here’s what you should do:

  • Keep loan-to-value ratios under 80% to build equity cushions
  • Make sure multifamily properties maintain 1.25x minimum DSCRs
  • Set aside reserves for surprise expenses or income changes

Using Interest Rate Caps and Hedges

Think of interest rate caps as insurance policies for floating rates. They put a limit on how high your interest costs can go. These caps have three key parts: the covered loan amount (notional), how long it lasts (term), and the highest rate allowed (strike rate).

To name just one example, a $100 million, 3-year, 3% strike cap pays you whenever SOFR goes above 3% during that time. This means your maximum loan interest stays at 3% plus your loan spread. Caps are simpler than swaps – you pay once upfront and can end them without extra costs.

Interest rate swaps work differently but have their own benefits. They let borrowers trade variable rates for fixed ones. While caps set maximum rates and let you benefit if rates drop, swaps give you predictable interest costs throughout your loan.

Rebalancing Equity Contributions

Regular portfolio rebalancing helps you stay disciplined. You sell assets that have gained the most value and use that money to boost underperforming ones. This keeps your risk where you want it and naturally follows the sell-high/buy-low rule.

You don’t need to rebalance each account on its own. The real goal is keeping your full portfolio’s target asset allocation on track. Tax-wise, it’s better to make these changes in tax-deferred accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s.

Watch your key financial numbers monthly, especially your cash flow-to-debt service ratio and operating costs. Every quarter, take a full look at bigger risk factors like debt-to-equity ratios and changes in market value across properties.

The best investors know that spreading investments across the capital stack often beats putting everything in one place. A well-planned diversification strategy helps your real estate portfolio handle interest rate pressure while growing steadily over time.

Capital Stack Optimization Techniques in 2025

High interest rates today make capital stack optimization crucial to investment success. Smart investors adapt their strategies to stay profitable even when market conditions get tough.

Blended Cost of Capital Analysis

The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the life-blood of modern capital stack optimization. This key metric weighs all financing sources based on their share of total capital. WACC helps determine both the discount rate for business valuation and sets the bar for evaluating new investments. You get a clear picture of your capital structure costs by measuring the combined expenses of debt and equity layers.

The math is simple: WACC = [Cost of Debt × Debt Weight] + [Cost of Equity × Equity Weight]. This basic formula reveals powerful insights. The right mix becomes vital with 6% interest rates because each financing layer has unique risk-return features.

Layering Public Incentives into the Stack

A smart optimization strategy adds government incentives directly into your capital stack. These contributions work like equity since they need no mandatory repayment and replace cash equity directly.

Investment Tax Credits (ITCs) let you deduct a percentage of investment capital from federal tax liability. Some projects can reach deductions up to 50%. Production Tax Credits offer benefits based on output amounts over set periods. Tax equity investors love these incentives. They provide development capital mainly to save on taxes rather than earn cash returns.

Using Sale-Leasebacks to Unlock Equity

Sale-leaseback transactions pack a punch in high-rate environments, yet many investors overlook them. You can sell your real estate and lease it back right away. This lets you keep running the property while turning locked-up equity into usable capital.

Sale-leasebacks beat subordinated debt with high interest costs by giving you instant cash without ongoing debt payments. Properties that have gained value benefit the most. You can record the difference between fair value and book value as profit, which boosts your capital position. A well-planned transaction makes you financially stronger without disrupting operations or diluting ownership through new equity.

Investor Checklist: Evaluating Capital Stack Resilience

A solid capital stack needs careful evaluation from multiple angles. Smart investors examine three key factors to assess investment stability in changing markets.

Debt-to-Equity Ratio Thresholds

Smart real estate investors keep a close eye on their debt-to-equity ratios to gage financial health. Most private real estate investors aim to keep this ratio near 2.33:1 (70% debt, 30% equity). This ratio strikes the right balance between using leverage and staying secure. The type of property plays a big role in setting the right thresholds. Risky assets like hotels need lower ratios around 1.5:1. Stable investments like grocery-anchored retail centers can safely run at 4:1. Going above a 5.5:1 ratio is a big deal as it means the default risk shoots up.

Exit Strategy Alignment with Rate Cycles

The difference between great and average returns often comes down to exit timing. Lower interest rates usually push valuation “floors” higher. A business worth 4.5 times earnings might fetch 5.5-6 times early in an easing cycle. History shows better results come from acting before the market gets too crowded. The biggest risk comes from too many sellers flooding the market at once, which drives up buyer leverage.

Sponsor Track Record in High-Rate Markets

The choice of sponsor might be the most vital factor that many overlook. The best sponsors have guided investments through tough times, including the 2008 financial crisis and 2020 pandemic. Look for partners who showed strength in previous high-rate markets. Their connections with lenders and ability to refinance are a great way to get through tight capital markets.

Conclusion

Smart capital stack management needs strategic planning and disciplined execution when interest rates are high. Our analysis shows how 6% interest rates change every layer of the capital stack. This creates both challenges and opportunities for smart investors. Senior debt becomes more restrictive and mezzanine financing costs more. Preferred equity loses its usual return advantage while common equity faces higher volatility.

Your capital stack’s strength ends up depending on how well you manage risk upfront. Lower leverage improves debt service coverage ratios. Interest rate caps and hedges give crucial protection against future rate increases. Your portfolio needs periodic rebalancing of equity contributions to keep optimal risk-return features as markets change.

Successful real estate investors know capital stack optimization isn’t just theory—it directly affects project success and profits. A blended cost of capital analysis helps calculate your financing structure’s exact cost. This reveals ways to improve. Public incentives and sale-leasebacks can unlock substantial value even when credit is tight.

Real estate investment success depends on proper debt-to-equity ratios. You need to arrange exit strategies with interest rate cycles and partner with sponsors who have showed success in previous high-rate markets. These basic principles become crucial as rates hit or exceed 6%.

The $100 million question stands: Can your capital stack handle 6% interest rates? The answer largely depends on how well you’ve structured your financing layers and how quickly you put these strategies to work. Smart investors know market challenges create opportunities. They build well-positioned capital stacks and stick to their investment strategy whatever the rate environment.

Book Strategy Call

Book a call with us to discuss property management, real estate asset management, or our other services and investor solutions.

Download: Opportunity Zone Tax Loophole
How Investors Are Eliminating Capital Gains Taxes in California in 2025

Report by Primior, a Southern California real estate advisory, development, management, and investment firm.

More Insights

The $100M Question: Can Your Capital Stack Survive 6% Interest Rates?
December 27, 2025

Interest rates’ rise drives up borrowing costs by a lot. A homeowner might pay several hundred dollars more... (Keep reading?)

Smart Contracts in Tokenized Real Estate: Protecting Your Investment with Clawbacks
December 23, 2025

Real estate investment is changing through tokenization, and experts project this market could reach $4 trillion by 2035.... (Keep reading?)

The Difference Between Bridge Loans and Construction Loans
December 20, 2025

Real estate investors need to know the construction loan vs bridge loan difference to create better investment strategies.... (Keep reading?)

How Secondary Trading Works for Tokenized Securities Under U.S. Regulations
December 16, 2025

Tokenized securities are revolutionizing how investors buy and sell in U.S. financial markets. Traditional securities trading might be... (Keep reading?)

Mezzanine Debt Explained: How It Fits Into the Capital Stack
December 13, 2025

Mezzanine debt is growing faster as a financing option in real estate. Market experts project it will reach... (Keep reading?)

What Makes a Digital Security Compliant? Key Requirements for Tokenized Real Estate
December 9, 2025

Tokenized real estate is expected to become a $1.9 trillion market by 2030, with optimistic projections reaching $4... (Keep reading?)

How Does Preferred Equity Work in Real Estate Investing?
December 6, 2025

What is Preferred Equity in Real Estate Investing? Preferred equity in real estate combines features of both debt... (Keep reading?)

How ERC-1400 Works: A Complete Guide to the Security Token Standard
December 2, 2025

ERC-1400 marks a vital step forward in tokenizing ground assets on blockchain technology. This standardized framework for security... (Keep reading?)

Join Primior's Newsletter

Join the Waitlist

Join the waitlist for the official Gaia Launch to get your early access invite and a chance to win up to $1,200 in rewards for referring your friends!

Enter your information to download the eBook:

Reserve Your Spot

Next session begins in...
00
Days
:
00
Hours
:
00
Minutes
:
00
Seconds

Not a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Educational purposes only. Accredited/HNW investors encouraged to attend. All investing involves risk. Past performance not indicative of future results. This site is not a part of the Facebook™ website or Facebook™ Inc. Additionally, this site is NOT endorsed by Facebook™ in any way. FACEBOOK™ is a trademark of FACEBOOK™, Inc. Privacy Policy. Terms & Conditions.

Apply Now

Enter your information to download the report:

Enter your information to unlock the case study:

Free guide unlocked:

Click the button below to access your free guide.

Enter your information to download the free guide:

Enter your information to download the free guide:

You've joined our newsletter.

Thank you for joining our newsletter! We will send you monthly insights, updates, and feature launches directly to your inbox.

You've joined our newsletter.

You will receive email notifications as soon as Gaia by Primior is launched and investment opportunities become available! Thank you for being a future Gaia investor.

Join Waitlist

Interested in participating in the future of real estate investing? Enter your contact information below to be placed on our waiting list and receive notifications and investment opportunities directly to your inbox once they are available.

Primior Application Form

Ready to work with Primior?

Click the button below to complete a short assessment and schedule a call with Primior’s Investor Relations team.

You've joined our newsletter.

Thank you for joining our newsletter! We will send you monthly insights, updates, and feature launches directly to your inbox.

Contact Us Now